21 February 2016

The 2016 MLB Standings -- Not!


For whatever it's worth -- which is to say, for kicks and giggles, here are Baseball Prospectus's projected standings for 2016.




There isn't much worth noting here, particular since these projections are little better than guesses. But it is interesting how little the projection system credits Arizona's hot stove spending spree, despite promising Zack Greinke an amount equal to 2% of the state's 2015 budget. 

You might also observe how little respect BP gives to the team with both the best player in baseball and the guy who's had the best career up to now, slating Anaheim for 87 losses. It also mysteriously loves the Rays and Indians, projecting them for more wins than the Mets, and it hates the 100-win Cardinals team (minus Jason Heyward and John Lackey but plus Adam Wainwright), bumping them down to basically break-even.

Finally, you've probably noticed that the World Champion Kansas City Royals are pegged for last place in the AL Central, with an inferior record to the Milwaukee Brewers, despite the return of almost exactly the same roster. Here's something that is worth noting: BP's projection system has underestimated KC's win total by 44 games the last three years.

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